Hey folks,
I've been keeping a really close eye on the models over the last few days... trying to figure out where a potential storm for Sunday night and into Monday will be tracking.
The models have really been flip flopping on the track of this storm... and the track will everything. The system will be brewing in Gulf of Mexico on Friday and Saturday and then will be heading Northeast.
The Appalachian Mountains are basically the line in the sand.
If the storm tracks to the West of the Mountains... which is what the GFS model seems to think... we would be seeing another good storm with some decent snowfall totals.
If the Storm tracks to the West of the Mountains and up the Eastern Seaboard of the U.S. we wouldn't see a big storm at all. Most of the system would track to the East of Great Lakes and we would just see a few flurries from an approaching Cold front from the West. The DGEX model below seems to be going with that solution.
Movie images courtesy: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/
Two different models and two very different solutions.
-If the GFS model is right we could potentially see 15-20 cm of snow!
-If the DGEX is right we would only see 5 cm.
I know which one most of you are hoping for...
I'll keep you up to date.
P.S. Here are some snowfall totals from last night's storm courtesy of Environment Canada.
==weather event discussion==
Most regions received amounts of 8 to 13 cm.
Areas close to Lake Ontario and the St.Lawrence valley collected 15 to 20 cm.
The highest Amounts were recorded in the Cornwall area with 22 cm.
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Location snowfall amounts (cm)
Hamilton 6 cm
Caledon 12 cm
Sutton 12 cm
Brampton 13 cm
Markam and Richmond Hill 7 to 12 cm
Toronto Buttonville airport 7 cm
City of Toronto 10 to 20 cm
Toronto Pearson airport 14 cm
Toronto Downsview 15 cm
Niagara area 5 to 10 cm
Trenton 10 cm
Ottawa 10 cm
Embrum 15 cm
Rockland 15 cm
Alexandria 10 cm
Kitchener 10 cm
Watertown 18 cm
Orillia 8 cm
Cornwall 22 cm
From what I can tell Peterborough recived about 10-12 cm last night.
Ryan.
2 comments:
Hi Ryan
Love that survey about where we would want the snow to fall, sorry I did think about your house....but just for 1 second, honestly LOL. I'm not that mean. Since alot of us are off Monday, let the snow fall. I love a good snow fall as long as I dont have to go anywhere, and if it does snow over your house I'd help you shovel :) Take care. Sally
guess what ryan for the poll for where do u want the snow to fall , i chose let it snow all over !
from: Lisa Martyn from Peterborough
take care ryan have a safe family day!
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