Alright let's talk about Friday for a minute....
All week I've been trying to figure out whether a storm coming out of Texas will be moving here into Southern Ontario. The models have not been a help at all, flip flopping with no consistency whatsoever.
After the last 2 days of back and fourth play on the models... I thought today I would start to see some sort of trend... I was wrong.
Todays NAM model.
Run 1-Brings the system in... at least 10 cm... perhaps 15cm!
Run 2-Brings the system in... just barely... 5 cm at the most.
Run 3- Brings the system in...5-10 cm.
Todays GFS model.
Run 1-Brings the system in... 5cm
Run 2- System goes to the south. No snow.
Run 3-System goes to the south. No snow.
Canadian Models continue to bring the system every run as well. So it's a very tough call on the forecast... especially because it's a Friday and many folks may be thinking about travel plans for Friday night-Saturday morning.
The problem with the storm... is that there are actually two storms...one coming from the Canadian Praries and the other coming up from Texas. The two systems will branch together and the models can't seem to figure out which one will dominate once the two come together. If the Northern system dominates we won't see any snow at all. If the Southern system takes over... we will see snow on Friday and into Saturday.
So for now, I'm going to stick with my forecast of a Mainly Cloudy day Friday...
However, just be informed that this could change.
Ryan.
P.S. No matter what happens with the Friday system... it's looking more and more promising for a potential Big Storm for Mid-next week.
All week I've been trying to figure out whether a storm coming out of Texas will be moving here into Southern Ontario. The models have not been a help at all, flip flopping with no consistency whatsoever.
After the last 2 days of back and fourth play on the models... I thought today I would start to see some sort of trend... I was wrong.
Todays NAM model.
Run 1-Brings the system in... at least 10 cm... perhaps 15cm!
Run 2-Brings the system in... just barely... 5 cm at the most.
Run 3- Brings the system in...5-10 cm.
Todays GFS model.
Run 1-Brings the system in... 5cm
Run 2- System goes to the south. No snow.
Run 3-System goes to the south. No snow.
Canadian Models continue to bring the system every run as well. So it's a very tough call on the forecast... especially because it's a Friday and many folks may be thinking about travel plans for Friday night-Saturday morning.
The problem with the storm... is that there are actually two storms...one coming from the Canadian Praries and the other coming up from Texas. The two systems will branch together and the models can't seem to figure out which one will dominate once the two come together. If the Northern system dominates we won't see any snow at all. If the Southern system takes over... we will see snow on Friday and into Saturday.
So for now, I'm going to stick with my forecast of a Mainly Cloudy day Friday...
However, just be informed that this could change.
Ryan.
P.S. No matter what happens with the Friday system... it's looking more and more promising for a potential Big Storm for Mid-next week.
1 comments:
have a wonderfull weekend ryan...
from lisa martyn from peterborough ontario canada ..keep up the humour ryan...
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